when it would potentially be vastly easier to spearhead an international alliance to prohibit this technology.
I would be interested in reading more about the methods that could be used to prohibit the proliferation of this technology (you can assume a “wake-up” from the USG).
I think one of the biggest fears would be that any sort of international alliance would not have perfect/robust detection capabilities, so you’re always risking the fact that someone might be running a rogue AGI project.
Also, separately, there’s the issue of “at some point, doesn’t it become so trivially easy to develop AGI that we still need the International Community Good Guys to develop AGI [or do something else] that gets us out of the acute risk period?” When you say “prohibit this technology”, do you mean “prohibit this technology from being developed outside of the International Community Good Guys Cluster” or do you mean “prohibit this technology in its entirety?”
I would be interested in reading more about the methods that could be used to prohibit the proliferation of this technology (you can assume a “wake-up” from the USG).
I think one of the biggest fears would be that any sort of international alliance would not have perfect/robust detection capabilities, so you’re always risking the fact that someone might be running a rogue AGI project.
Also, separately, there’s the issue of “at some point, doesn’t it become so trivially easy to develop AGI that we still need the International Community Good Guys to develop AGI [or do something else] that gets us out of the acute risk period?” When you say “prohibit this technology”, do you mean “prohibit this technology from being developed outside of the International Community Good Guys Cluster” or do you mean “prohibit this technology in its entirety?”