A thought pattern that I’ve noticed myself and others falling into sometimes: Sometimes I will make arguments about things from first principles that look something like “I don’t see any way X can be true, it clearly follows from [premises] that X is definitely false”, even though there are people who believe X is true. When this happens, it’s almost always unproductive to continue to argue on first principles, but rather I should do one of: a) try to better understand the argument and find a more specific crux to disagree on or b) decide that this topic isn’t worth investing more time in, register it as “not sure if X is true” in my mind, and move on.
For many such questions, “is X true” is the wrong question. This is common when X isn’t a testable proposition, it’s a model or assertion of causal weight. If you can’t think of existence proofs that would confirm it, try to reframe as “under what conditions is X a useful model?”.
A thought pattern that I’ve noticed myself and others falling into sometimes: Sometimes I will make arguments about things from first principles that look something like “I don’t see any way X can be true, it clearly follows from [premises] that X is definitely false”, even though there are people who believe X is true. When this happens, it’s almost always unproductive to continue to argue on first principles, but rather I should do one of: a) try to better understand the argument and find a more specific crux to disagree on or b) decide that this topic isn’t worth investing more time in, register it as “not sure if X is true” in my mind, and move on.
For many such questions, “is X true” is the wrong question. This is common when X isn’t a testable proposition, it’s a model or assertion of causal weight. If you can’t think of existence proofs that would confirm it, try to reframe as “under what conditions is X a useful model?”.