a corollary is i think even once AI can automate the “google for the error and whack it until it works” loop, this is probably still quite far off from being able to fully automate frontier ML research, though it certainly will make research more pleasant
I agree if I specify ‘quite far off in ability-space’, while acknowledging that I think this may not be ‘quite far off in clock-time’. Sometimes the difference between no skill at a task and very little skill is a larger time and effort gap than the difference between very little skill and substantial skill.
a corollary is i think even once AI can automate the “google for the error and whack it until it works” loop, this is probably still quite far off from being able to fully automate frontier ML research, though it certainly will make research more pleasant
I agree if I specify ‘quite far off in ability-space’, while acknowledging that I think this may not be ‘quite far off in clock-time’. Sometimes the difference between no skill at a task and very little skill is a larger time and effort gap than the difference between very little skill and substantial skill.