I would assume that experts are likely to be concerned to an extent more appropriate to the severity of the risk than autodidacts are.
There can be exceptions, of course, but when non-experts make widely more extreme claims than experts do on some issue, especially a strongly emotively charged issue (e.g. the End of the World), unless they can present really compelling evidence and arguments, Dunning–Kruger effect seems to be the most likely explanation.
I would assume that experts are likely to be concerned to an extent more appropriate to the severity of the risk than autodidacts are.
That is exactly what I would assume too. Autodidacts’ risk estimates should be worse than experts’. It does not follow that autodidacts’ risk estimates should be milder than experts’, though. The latter claim is what I meant to contest.
I would assume that experts are likely to be concerned to an extent more appropriate to the severity of the risk than autodidacts are.
There can be exceptions, of course, but when non-experts make widely more extreme claims than experts do on some issue, especially a strongly emotively charged issue (e.g. the End of the World), unless they can present really compelling evidence and arguments, Dunning–Kruger effect seems to be the most likely explanation.
That is exactly what I would assume too. Autodidacts’ risk estimates should be worse than experts’. It does not follow that autodidacts’ risk estimates should be milder than experts’, though. The latter claim is what I meant to contest.