If you’re not making quantitative predictions, you’re probably doing it wrong, or you’re probably not doing it as well as you can. That’s sort of become kind of critical to how we operate. You have to predict in advance. Anybody can explain anything after the fact, and it has to be quantitative or you’re not being serious about how you’re approaching the problem.
The problems you face might not require a serious approach; without more information, I can’t say.
--Gabe Newell during a talk. The whole talk is worthwhile if you’re interested in institutional design or Valve.
What’s the percent chance that I’m doing it wrong?
The whole quote:
The problems you face might not require a serious approach; without more information, I can’t say.
78.544%.