I finished the post that explains the problem with the decision theory you proposed- calculating payoffs in the most direct way risks spurious counterfactuals. (I hope you don’t mind that I called it “naive decision theory”, since you yourself said it seemed like the obvious straightforward thing to do.)
I finished the post that explains the problem with the decision theory you proposed- calculating payoffs in the most direct way risks spurious counterfactuals. (I hope you don’t mind that I called it “naive decision theory”, since you yourself said it seemed like the obvious straightforward thing to do.)