Interestingly, the most influential prior, that made me change my prediction from the incorrect to correct answer was the existence of this post. Had I stumbled across the video without expectations, I would have put little effort to fix my incorrect intuition of “flies off in every direction.” But reading the post, particularly the comment that I HAVE to watch the video, suggested that the actual result was interesting and perhaps in some way nonintuitive.
I also thought that the existence of this post implied some other result than the most intuitive one being the correct one, but I still failed to think of any alternative to the intuitive outcome (bubbles of water flying off in every direction).
Was that really the intuitive expectation for most people? When ringing it out in gravity, it tends to just run off the bottom. My prediction was wrong in the other direction: I expected the water to not really escape the towel very much and have only a small visible effect. (Though I was imagining a much smaller amount of water on the towel.)
Interestingly, the most influential prior, that made me change my prediction from the incorrect to correct answer was the existence of this post. Had I stumbled across the video without expectations, I would have put little effort to fix my incorrect intuition of “flies off in every direction.” But reading the post, particularly the comment that I HAVE to watch the video, suggested that the actual result was interesting and perhaps in some way nonintuitive.
I also thought that the existence of this post implied some other result than the most intuitive one being the correct one, but I still failed to think of any alternative to the intuitive outcome (bubbles of water flying off in every direction).
Was that really the intuitive expectation for most people? When ringing it out in gravity, it tends to just run off the bottom. My prediction was wrong in the other direction: I expected the water to not really escape the towel very much and have only a small visible effect. (Though I was imagining a much smaller amount of water on the towel.)