I can’t really help with your model building, but an option you might want to consider—could you skip the “immediate family at home” part and just attend the “extended family in the mountains” part? (Or vice versa.) That would cut out two flights.
Yeah, and it would also cut out close contact with a number of people. It’s actually looking pretty likely the second of the mentioned alternatives will happen (assuming I go at all) - it’s possible I’ll stay at home with an immediate family member, rather than go to Utah. This reduces my close contact from ~20 people (in ~4 families) down to like 3 people (1 family), and should significantly reduce the odds of my catching it. I started writing a huge response, but moved it into an update.
I can’t really help with your model building, but an option you might want to consider—could you skip the “immediate family at home” part and just attend the “extended family in the mountains” part? (Or vice versa.) That would cut out two flights.
Yeah, and it would also cut out close contact with a number of people. It’s actually looking pretty likely the second of the mentioned alternatives will happen (assuming I go at all) - it’s possible I’ll stay at home with an immediate family member, rather than go to Utah. This reduces my close contact from ~20 people (in ~4 families) down to like 3 people (1 family), and should significantly reduce the odds of my catching it. I started writing a huge response, but moved it into an update.