Does Pareto frontier trick allow people to circumvent the Generalized Efficient Market hypothesis? That is, take people in the 98th percentile of intelligence. Are there a few separate fields such that they could become experts in each, with less than 10 years of total time investment... and then have a realistic shot at a big money/status windfall, with relatively little *marginal* effort.
I took some liberties in operationalising what seemed to me a core thesis underlying the post. Let me know if you think it doesn’t really capture the important stuff!
(You can find a list of all review poll questions here.)
I think this roughly captures it. Minor caveat that picking the right few separate fields could be where the “hard part” is; for the strategy to really circumvent GEM, it also has to be tractable to pick the right few fields with not-too-low probability.
I took some liberties in operationalising what seemed to me a core thesis underlying the post. Let me know if you think it doesn’t really capture the important stuff!
(You can find a list of all review poll questions here.)
I think this roughly captures it. Minor caveat that picking the right few separate fields could be where the “hard part” is; for the strategy to really circumvent GEM, it also has to be tractable to pick the right few fields with not-too-low probability.
Yeah I thought about that. I’m curious whether one could operationalise the field-picking into an interesting poll question.