Nice article. It seems to be the opposite of goodhart’s law (self-destructing correlations) but if there’s some higher model that unifies the two, I can’t see it at the moment.
It’s pretty simple. Belief of a correlation, like anything else, can affect the correlation. If belief strengthens it, it’s self-fulfilling. If belief weakens it, it’s goodhart’s law.
Nice article. It seems to be the opposite of goodhart’s law (self-destructing correlations) but if there’s some higher model that unifies the two, I can’t see it at the moment.
It’s pretty simple. Belief of a correlation, like anything else, can affect the correlation. If belief strengthens it, it’s self-fulfilling. If belief weakens it, it’s goodhart’s law.