This is a good point. I think the epistemic ability to predict and evaluate arguments independently of the truth of the conclusion is something we want to heavily select for and reward, see e.g. Eliezer’s writing on that here.
If Elizabeth is interested, I’m definitely interested in funding and experimenting with prediction markets on argument validity for the next round of amplifying epistemic spot checks.
This is a good point. I think the epistemic ability to predict and evaluate arguments independently of the truth of the conclusion is something we want to heavily select for and reward, see e.g. Eliezer’s writing on that here.
If Elizabeth is interested, I’m definitely interested in funding and experimenting with prediction markets on argument validity for the next round of amplifying epistemic spot checks.