For starters, I’d say it would be best to take advice from people whose careers and accomplishments are to some extent a matter of public record. Then you can evaluate (a) whether they seem to have actually accomplished the things they’re trying to teach you to accomplish, and (b) whether they seem to have accomplished those things via the procedure they’re encouraging you to follow. If yes to both, then you might proceed further.
In that case, the problem of making good advice seem too easy might come down to a couple of things. First, you want to see a good step-by-step procedure where you can really understand each step and imagine exactly what you’d have to do to achieve it. Second, it would be a red flag if any of those steps seem to be “magic” steps such as “Have a brilliant, lucrative idea for a business.”
For starters, I’d say it would be best to take advice from people whose careers and accomplishments are to some extent a matter of public record. Then you can evaluate (a) whether they seem to have actually accomplished the things they’re trying to teach you to accomplish, and (b) whether they seem to have accomplished those things via the procedure they’re encouraging you to follow. If yes to both, then you might proceed further.
If you are privy to the information necessary to evaluate (b), you can just look at it directly and skip listening to the advice altogether.
Yeah, but it might be useful to know what the person in question considers to have been the crucial aspects of their procedure, as opposed to merely ancillary aspects. This won’t be failproof but will at least have better than chance odds of contributing something useful to the advice.
This won’t be failproof but will at least have better than chance odds of contributing something useful to the advice.
That depends on whether this person is motivated by a real desire to benefit you, or a desire to sound in a way that has maximum signaling value. (Note that the latter can be the case even when people honestly believe they’re doing the former, unless they have a special and extraordinary degree of altruism towards you, which is typically the case only for close family and friends.)
For starters, I’d say it would be best to take advice from people whose careers and accomplishments are to some extent a matter of public record. Then you can evaluate (a) whether they seem to have actually accomplished the things they’re trying to teach you to accomplish, and (b) whether they seem to have accomplished those things via the procedure they’re encouraging you to follow. If yes to both, then you might proceed further.
In that case, the problem of making good advice seem too easy might come down to a couple of things. First, you want to see a good step-by-step procedure where you can really understand each step and imagine exactly what you’d have to do to achieve it. Second, it would be a red flag if any of those steps seem to be “magic” steps such as “Have a brilliant, lucrative idea for a business.”
The expert-at vs. expert-on distinction severely weakens this meta-advice. See also Unteachable Excellence.
If you are privy to the information necessary to evaluate (b), you can just look at it directly and skip listening to the advice altogether.
Yeah, but it might be useful to know what the person in question considers to have been the crucial aspects of their procedure, as opposed to merely ancillary aspects. This won’t be failproof but will at least have better than chance odds of contributing something useful to the advice.
That depends on whether this person is motivated by a real desire to benefit you, or a desire to sound in a way that has maximum signaling value. (Note that the latter can be the case even when people honestly believe they’re doing the former, unless they have a special and extraordinary degree of altruism towards you, which is typically the case only for close family and friends.)
Advice about what to do if you have a brilliant idea for a business is still valuable for some people.