Same here. Let us put it on prediction book and assign odds once we agree. We could even make more than one prediction.
Ok, so how about something like
A = the proportion of the population of [region] getting an undergraduate degree in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
B = the proportion of the population of [region] getting an postgraduate degree in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
C = the proportion of the population of [region] employed in education in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
D = the proportion of the population of [region] employed in higher education in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
And we’d prediction book:
A iff B
A iff C
A iff D
B iff C
B iff D
Edit: formatting
Consider distinguishing between research and taught postgrads, and postgrads that build on the undergrad and ones that are postgrad purely or primarily for signalling purposes, like JDs, MBAs and MDs.
Can we easily get statistics on those?
Ok, so how about something like
A = the proportion of the population of [region] getting an undergraduate degree in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
B = the proportion of the population of [region] getting an postgraduate degree in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
C = the proportion of the population of [region] employed in education in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
D = the proportion of the population of [region] employed in higher education in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
And we’d prediction book:
A iff B
A iff C
A iff D
B iff C
B iff D
Edit: formatting
Consider distinguishing between research and taught postgrads, and postgrads that build on the undergrad and ones that are postgrad purely or primarily for signalling purposes, like JDs, MBAs and MDs.
Can we easily get statistics on those?