In my mind the question comes down to what do humans value that other humans do that will be hard to do or hard to value if it comes from a machine?
Art in all forms. Live music performance. Painting, personal photography. Interior design. Even industrial design. For a long time the parts of this that can be automated will be used by experts to improve the quality of their performances.
SImilarly with engineering, I think it will be a long time before the tools replace the tool-bearer. Software will be easier and easier to write because the level at which it is being written will be higher and higher, and more and more (exponentially) cpucycles will be used to compile the software, but that “prime mover” putting it all in place will exist for a very long time. Similarly when math is automated there will still be physicists and mathematicians using the tools to develop theories, they will just develop them faster and more accurately than they used to.
The ownership idea is strong and will take stand you well for a long while (generations more I think). In the same way that patents and copyrights fade and expire, I would expect an increasingly large portion of basic production to be deprivatized in some fashion or another. When there is no human input into changing productivity, no human input in to managing the deployment of capital, it will simply not make sense to attribute that capital (and its earnings) to some particular owner anymore. HOW that transition takes place may be wierd and slow, but natural selection dictates that it will take place in some form in some facets of the human world, and that its greater efficiency over private ownership will make it grow.
But in the mean time, the arts, high end of science/math/engineering.
In my mind the question comes down to what … will be hard … to value if it comes from a machine?
As atucker mentioned, personal servants will still be in demand, the more personal the better. The “oldest profession” may also be one of the last surviving. Sycophants, courtiers, jesters …
In my mind the question comes down to what do humans value that other humans do that will be hard to do or hard to value if it comes from a machine?
Art in all forms. Live music performance. Painting, personal photography. Interior design. Even industrial design. For a long time the parts of this that can be automated will be used by experts to improve the quality of their performances.
SImilarly with engineering, I think it will be a long time before the tools replace the tool-bearer. Software will be easier and easier to write because the level at which it is being written will be higher and higher, and more and more (exponentially) cpucycles will be used to compile the software, but that “prime mover” putting it all in place will exist for a very long time. Similarly when math is automated there will still be physicists and mathematicians using the tools to develop theories, they will just develop them faster and more accurately than they used to.
The ownership idea is strong and will take stand you well for a long while (generations more I think). In the same way that patents and copyrights fade and expire, I would expect an increasingly large portion of basic production to be deprivatized in some fashion or another. When there is no human input into changing productivity, no human input in to managing the deployment of capital, it will simply not make sense to attribute that capital (and its earnings) to some particular owner anymore. HOW that transition takes place may be wierd and slow, but natural selection dictates that it will take place in some form in some facets of the human world, and that its greater efficiency over private ownership will make it grow.
But in the mean time, the arts, high end of science/math/engineering.
As atucker mentioned, personal servants will still be in demand, the more personal the better. The “oldest profession” may also be one of the last surviving. Sycophants, courtiers, jesters …