Some people think the Pause would somehow accelerate capabilities or make gains on capabilities, which at least make sense to me as a reason not to support it.
I’m not sure what this argument refers to, but I haven’t heard it before. However, it sounds related to the argument that pausing AI creates a compute overhang, which could lead to rapid progress if the pause is lifted. I think this argument makes sense, but I don’t think it’s an overwhelming consideration. I just think it’s a major consideration that should be weighed against the benefits of a pause, and I’m not convinced that those benefits would be large.
I’m not sure what this argument refers to, but I haven’t heard it before. However, it sounds related to the argument that pausing AI creates a compute overhang, which could lead to rapid progress if the pause is lifted. I think this argument makes sense, but I don’t think it’s an overwhelming consideration. I just think it’s a major consideration that should be weighed against the benefits of a pause, and I’m not convinced that those benefits would be large.