I agree strongly with this, however it’s not just availability of hardware but willingness to put the hardware to AI uses. It could be that we already have the hardware to execute a self-improving AI, it’s just that it’s being used to simulate nuclear explosions or molecular dynamics or carry out billions of web searches instead.
Things like this seem to increase the probability that AI is currently constrained more by hardware than by software.
I agree strongly with this, however it’s not just availability of hardware but willingness to put the hardware to AI uses. It could be that we already have the hardware to execute a self-improving AI, it’s just that it’s being used to simulate nuclear explosions or molecular dynamics or carry out billions of web searches instead.