Hm, I disagree with some of the tacks you take. I would do the anthropics differently and say that it does matter more than a sliver to Trump that he’s a zillion times more likely to be simulated if the world is a “Ancestor and Trump sims” world. How much more? Well, there I need to use another thing I disagree with you about, which is how useful complexity is.
Like, seriously, maybe if we wanted to talk about this we’d have to go back and rehash why complexity arguments are so important to Boltzmann brains. So important that the reason we even infer from our sense data that we’re in the “apparent world” rather than in the “deceived brains world” is because the apparent world is what you infer from trying to make simple predictions, which is a variety of complexity argument.
Hm, I disagree with some of the tacks you take. I would do the anthropics differently and say that it does matter more than a sliver to Trump that he’s a zillion times more likely to be simulated if the world is a “Ancestor and Trump sims” world. How much more? Well, there I need to use another thing I disagree with you about, which is how useful complexity is.
Like, seriously, maybe if we wanted to talk about this we’d have to go back and rehash why complexity arguments are so important to Boltzmann brains. So important that the reason we even infer from our sense data that we’re in the “apparent world” rather than in the “deceived brains world” is because the apparent world is what you infer from trying to make simple predictions, which is a variety of complexity argument.