This post isn’t particularly concerned with the full suite of tools you’d need to deploy to rigorously show that my argument is correct. And that isn’t its intention. I wrote this because people asked me to surface all the relevant considerations I was aware of for home purchase.
I haven’t been following the thread here, but from a quick glance, seems like that would have been good to include an epistemic status or other preamble about your intention with the post. From my quick read, I had the impression that it was very carefully considered/rigorous.
Added some info at the top. I think some people want a degree of quantitative modeling that I’m not going to pour 10+ hours into polishing into usable form. This should ultimately really be a guesstimate model and I’d encourage someone with the relevant chops to apply to the EA funds to get a grant to create a much better rent-to-buy calculator that the entire community can then use to get better confidence bounds on individual decisions.
My own take is “it’s quite important for people to throw up ideas on LessWrong without being forced to delve into hours of rigor, but for that to really work as a norm I think it’s fairly important to have epistemic statuses spelling that out, so people know what to expect.”
(I also have not read this post or discussion, don’t have strong opinions about this particular example).
I haven’t been following the thread here, but from a quick glance, seems like that would have been good to include an epistemic status or other preamble about your intention with the post. From my quick read, I had the impression that it was very carefully considered/rigorous.
Added some info at the top. I think some people want a degree of quantitative modeling that I’m not going to pour 10+ hours into polishing into usable form. This should ultimately really be a guesstimate model and I’d encourage someone with the relevant chops to apply to the EA funds to get a grant to create a much better rent-to-buy calculator that the entire community can then use to get better confidence bounds on individual decisions.
My own take is “it’s quite important for people to throw up ideas on LessWrong without being forced to delve into hours of rigor, but for that to really work as a norm I think it’s fairly important to have epistemic statuses spelling that out, so people know what to expect.”
(I also have not read this post or discussion, don’t have strong opinions about this particular example).
Yes, with the edit “Quite important” → “necessary”