I agree, it is the key to rationality. :) I got the idea from Heuer’s CIA debiasing guide, Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Or rather, from someone at a LW meetup who got it from that guide. An older source is the essay The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses. Both sources give more detail on the breadth of this idea.
I agree, it is the key to rationality. :) I got the idea from Heuer’s CIA debiasing guide, Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Or rather, from someone at a LW meetup who got it from that guide. An older source is the essay The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses. Both sources give more detail on the breadth of this idea.
Maybe we should have a post spelling out how much of rationality is covered by this. It’s not widely understood here.