Definitely, and the Nate Silver piece in particular is 8 years out of date. But these are long-term trends, and the predictions don’t require much precision—COVID might shift some demographic numbers by 10% for a decade, but that’s not enough to substantially change the predictions for 2040.
Definitely, and the Nate Silver piece in particular is 8 years out of date. But these are long-term trends, and the predictions don’t require much precision—COVID might shift some demographic numbers by 10% for a decade, but that’s not enough to substantially change the predictions for 2040.