Do you feel confident you personally have the answer in your own mind, or are you just running on the assumption that GS must contain it somewhere, because of its general wonderfulness?
I’m think the problem doesn’t make sense in the GS paradigm. Kuhn wrote that problem set in one paradigm aren’t necessarily expressable in the paradigm of another framework and I think this is case like that.
According to Kuhn science needs to have a crisis to stop using the existing paradigm and move to a different one.
In the field of medicine you could say that the paradigm of Evidence-Based Medicine solved certain issues that the prevailing scientific paradigm had at the time Korzybski wrote. Thinking in terms of probabilities and controlled trials solves certain practical problems really well. It especially solved the practical problem of proving that patented drugs provide clinical effects for patients really well and much better than the previous paradigm.
That’s a problem that GS doesn’t solve that problem as well. There are socioeconomic reasons why a paradigm that solves that problem well won. On the physics side “shut up and calculate” also worked well socioeconomically. “Shut up and calculate” works well for problems such as flying airplanes, going to the moon or building computer chips. To solve those problems the conceptualization of underyling ontology isn’t necessary. Economically people did well in those area with ignoring ontology and simply focusing on epistemology.
GS doesn’t provide better answer to those questions. On the other hand the prevailing paradigm gives really crappy answers for questions such as “What is autism?”. What’s a human? Is a human something different than a homo sapiens? GS is useful for thinking about the answers to those questions. Those questions are starting to become economically relevant in a way they didn’t used to with big data and AI.
On the QS facebook group I had yesterday a conversation about practical problems with the ontology of what the term mood means with a person saying that they had trouble creating data about moods because they couldn’t find a definition on which 30% of psychologists agree.
I think “general wonderfulness” is the wrong framing. It’s that GS is doing well at different problems.
I’m think the problem doesn’t make sense in the GS paradigm. Kuhn wrote that problem set in one paradigm aren’t necessarily expressable in the paradigm of another framework and I think this is case like that.
Do you realise that over the course of the discussion, you have
1) offered a solution to the problem of ubnfounded foundations.
2) offered a claim that a solution exists, but is too long to write down.
3) offered a claim that the problem doesn’t exist in the first place.
1) offered a solution to the problem of ubnfounded foundations.
The solution offered at the beginning is basically: “Don’t try to let your reasoning be based on underlying foundations in the first place.”
That leaves the open question about how to reason. GS is an answer to that question.
“One the one hand, on the other hand, on the third hand”-reasoning as advocated in Superforcasting where there doesn’t have to be a shared foudnation for all three hands is another. That’s what Tetlock calls “foxy” thinking and where he argues that it makes better predictions than hedgehog thinking where everything is based on one model with one foundation.
But Superfocasting provides a bunch of heuristics and not a deep ontological foundation.
I also have other frameworks that point in the same direction but that are even harder to describe and likely not accessible by simply reading a book.
3) offered a claim that the problem doesn’t exist in the first place.
No. The problem exist if you take certain assumptions for granted. If haven’t claim that you don’t have the problem if you make those assumption and follow certain heuristics.
This leaves open the question of how to reason differently. GS is an answer of how to reason differently and it’s complex and demonstrating that it’s an internally consistent approach takes time and is done in Science and Sanity over many pages.
3) offered a claim that the problem doesn’t exist in the first place.
No, I do see that the problem exist if you follow certain heuristics.
The solution offered at the beginning is basically: “Don’t try to let your reasoning be based on underlying foundations in the first place.”
What that seems to amount to is “conduct all your reasoning inside a black box”. That makes soem problems, such as the problem of being able to veify your reasoning
What that seems to amount to is “conduct all your reasoning inside a black box”.
Not it’s not a black box. It’s just not the usually used box and Science and Sanity describes how the box works. And that’s sufficiently complex that it’s not easy to break down on one page.
Do you feel confident you personally have the answer in your own mind, or are you just running on the assumption that GS must contain it somewhere, because of its general wonderfulness?
The outside view: http://lesswrong.com/lw/54u/bayesian_epistemology_vs_popper/3v49
I’m think the problem doesn’t make sense in the GS paradigm. Kuhn wrote that problem set in one paradigm aren’t necessarily expressable in the paradigm of another framework and I think this is case like that.
According to Kuhn science needs to have a crisis to stop using the existing paradigm and move to a different one. In the field of medicine you could say that the paradigm of Evidence-Based Medicine solved certain issues that the prevailing scientific paradigm had at the time Korzybski wrote. Thinking in terms of probabilities and controlled trials solves certain practical problems really well. It especially solved the practical problem of proving that patented drugs provide clinical effects for patients really well and much better than the previous paradigm.
That’s a problem that GS doesn’t solve that problem as well. There are socioeconomic reasons why a paradigm that solves that problem well won. On the physics side “shut up and calculate” also worked well socioeconomically. “Shut up and calculate” works well for problems such as flying airplanes, going to the moon or building computer chips. To solve those problems the conceptualization of underyling ontology isn’t necessary. Economically people did well in those area with ignoring ontology and simply focusing on epistemology.
GS doesn’t provide better answer to those questions. On the other hand the prevailing paradigm gives really crappy answers for questions such as “What is autism?”. What’s a human? Is a human something different than a homo sapiens? GS is useful for thinking about the answers to those questions. Those questions are starting to become economically relevant in a way they didn’t used to with big data and AI.
On the QS facebook group I had yesterday a conversation about practical problems with the ontology of what the term mood means with a person saying that they had trouble creating data about moods because they couldn’t find a definition on which 30% of psychologists agree.
I think “general wonderfulness” is the wrong framing. It’s that GS is doing well at different problems.
Do you realise that over the course of the discussion, you have
1) offered a solution to the problem of ubnfounded foundations.
2) offered a claim that a solution exists, but is too long to write down.
3) offered a claim that the problem doesn’t exist in the first place.
The solution offered at the beginning is basically: “Don’t try to let your reasoning be based on underlying foundations in the first place.”
That leaves the open question about how to reason. GS is an answer to that question.
“One the one hand, on the other hand, on the third hand”-reasoning as advocated in Superforcasting where there doesn’t have to be a shared foudnation for all three hands is another. That’s what Tetlock calls “foxy” thinking and where he argues that it makes better predictions than hedgehog thinking where everything is based on one model with one foundation. But Superfocasting provides a bunch of heuristics and not a deep ontological foundation.
I also have other frameworks that point in the same direction but that are even harder to describe and likely not accessible by simply reading a book.
No. The problem exist if you take certain assumptions for granted. If haven’t claim that you don’t have the problem if you make those assumption and follow certain heuristics.
This leaves open the question of how to reason differently. GS is an answer of how to reason differently and it’s complex and demonstrating that it’s an internally consistent approach takes time and is done in Science and Sanity over many pages.
No, I do see that the problem exist if you follow certain heuristics.
What that seems to amount to is “conduct all your reasoning inside a black box”. That makes soem problems, such as the problem of being able to veify your reasoning
Not it’s not a black box. It’s just not the usually used box and Science and Sanity describes how the box works. And that’s sufficiently complex that it’s not easy to break down on one page.