A well-known example is the “Brier” of “Brier score” who invented it in 1950 to rate wheathermen’s predictions—and which budding rationalists of the Good Judgment Project and elsewhere use today to assess their own calibration/resolution.
A well-known example is the “Brier” of “Brier score” who invented it in 1950 to rate wheathermen’s predictions—and which budding rationalists of the Good Judgment Project and elsewhere use today to assess their own calibration/resolution.