I don’t post things like this because I think they’re right, I post them because I think they are interesting. The geometry of TV signals and box springs causing cancer on the left sides of people’s bodies in Western countries...that’s a clever bit of hypothesizing, right or wrong.
In this case, an organization I know nothing about (Vetenskap och Folkbildning from Sweden) says that Olle Johansson, one of the researchers who came up with the box spring hypothesis, is a quack. In fact, he was “Misleader of the year” in 2004. What does this mean in terms of his work on box springs and cancer? I have no idea. All I know is that on one side you’ve got Olle Johansson, Scientific American, and the peer-reviewed journal (Pathophysiology) in which Johansson’s hypothesis was published. And on the other side, there’s Vetenskap och Folkbildning, a number of commenters on the SciAm post, and a bunch of people in my inbox. Who’s right? Who knows. It’s a fine opportunity to remain skeptical.
Who’s right? Who knows. It’s a fine opportunity to remain skeptical.
Bullshit. The ‘skeptical’ thing to do would be to take 30 seconds to think about the theory’s physical plausibility before posting it on one’s blog, not regurgitate the theory and cover one’s ass with an I’m-so-balanced-look-there’s-two-sides-to-the-issue fallacy.
TV-frequency EM radiation is non-ionizing, so how’s it going to transfer enough energy to your cells to cause cancer? It could heat you up, or it could induce currents within your body. But however much heating it causes, the temperature increase caused by heat insulation from your mattress and cover is surely much greater, and I reckon you’d get stronger induced currents from your alarm clock/computer/ceiling light/bedside lamp or whatever other circuitry’s switched on in your bedroom. (And wouldn’t you get a weird arrhythmia kicking off before cancer anyway?)
(As long as I’m venting, it’s at least a little silly for Kottke to say he’s posting it because it’s ‘interesting’ and not because it’s ‘right,’ because surely it’s only interesting because it might be right? Bleh.)
it’s at least a little silly for Kottke to say he’s posting it because it’s ‘interesting’ and not because it’s ‘right’
Yup, that’s the bit I thought made it appropriate for LW.
It reminded me of my speculations on “asymmetric intellectual warfare”—we are bombarded all day long with things that are “interesting” in one sense or another but should still be dismissed outright, if only because paying attention to all of them would leave us with nothing left over for worthwhile items.
But we can also note regularities in the patterns of which claims of this kind get raised to the level of serious consideration. I’m still perplexed by how seriously mainstream media takes claims of “electrosensitivity”, but not totally surprised: there is something that seems “culturally appropriate” to the claims. The rate at which cell phones have spread through our culture has made “radio waves” more available as a potential source of worry, and has tended to legitimize a particular subset of all possible absurd claims.
TV-frequency EM radiation is non-ionizing, so how’s it going to transfer enough energy to your cells to cause cancer?
Neither that nor the rest of your ’graf is a decisive argument against a causal connection. And unless you can increase my probability that there are no subsystems of the human body that can resonate at TV frequencies, I will continue in my tentative belief that TV-frequency EM might still cause a problem even if sub-kilohertz EM does not.
Very good point about, “It’s interesting,” though. “It’s interesting,” should be a good reason only to teenagers still learning to find pleasure in learning new science.
If breast cancer and melanomas are more likely on the left side of the body at a level that’s statistically significant, that’s interesting even if the proposed explanation is nonsense.
Even so, ISTM that picking through the linked article for its many flaws in reasoning would have been more interesting even than not-quite-endorsing its conclusions.
What I find interesting is the question, what motivates an influential blogger with a large audience to pass on this particular kind of factoid?
We may get pleasure from having our expectations of relevance aroused. We often indulge in this pleasure for its own sake rather than for the cognitive benefits that only truly relevant information may bring. This, I would argue, is why, for instance, we read light fiction. This is why I could not resist the temptation of writing a post about Paul the octopus even before feeling confident that I had anything of relevance to say about it.
(ETA: note the parallel between the above and “I post these things because they are interesting, not because they’re right”. And to be lucid, my own expectations of relevance get aroused for the same reasons as most everyone else’s; I just happen to be lucky enough to know a blog where I can raise the discussion to the meta level.)
-- Jason Kottke
Bullshit. The ‘skeptical’ thing to do would be to take 30 seconds to think about the theory’s physical plausibility before posting it on one’s blog, not regurgitate the theory and cover one’s ass with an I’m-so-balanced-look-there’s-two-sides-to-the-issue fallacy.
TV-frequency EM radiation is non-ionizing, so how’s it going to transfer enough energy to your cells to cause cancer? It could heat you up, or it could induce currents within your body. But however much heating it causes, the temperature increase caused by heat insulation from your mattress and cover is surely much greater, and I reckon you’d get stronger induced currents from your alarm clock/computer/ceiling light/bedside lamp or whatever other circuitry’s switched on in your bedroom. (And wouldn’t you get a weird arrhythmia kicking off before cancer anyway?)
(As long as I’m venting, it’s at least a little silly for Kottke to say he’s posting it because it’s ‘interesting’ and not because it’s ‘right,’ because surely it’s only interesting because it might be right? Bleh.)
Yup, that’s the bit I thought made it appropriate for LW.
It reminded me of my speculations on “asymmetric intellectual warfare”—we are bombarded all day long with things that are “interesting” in one sense or another but should still be dismissed outright, if only because paying attention to all of them would leave us with nothing left over for worthwhile items.
But we can also note regularities in the patterns of which claims of this kind get raised to the level of serious consideration. I’m still perplexed by how seriously mainstream media takes claims of “electrosensitivity”, but not totally surprised: there is something that seems “culturally appropriate” to the claims. The rate at which cell phones have spread through our culture has made “radio waves” more available as a potential source of worry, and has tended to legitimize a particular subset of all possible absurd claims.
Neither that nor the rest of your ’graf is a decisive argument against a causal connection. And unless you can increase my probability that there are no subsystems of the human body that can resonate at TV frequencies, I will continue in my tentative belief that TV-frequency EM might still cause a problem even if sub-kilohertz EM does not.
Very good point about, “It’s interesting,” though. “It’s interesting,” should be a good reason only to teenagers still learning to find pleasure in learning new science.
If breast cancer and melanomas are more likely on the left side of the body at a level that’s statistically significant, that’s interesting even if the proposed explanation is nonsense.
Even so, ISTM that picking through the linked article for its many flaws in reasoning would have been more interesting even than not-quite-endorsing its conclusions.
What I find interesting is the question, what motivates an influential blogger with a large audience to pass on this particular kind of factoid?
The ICCI blog has an explanation based on relevance theory and “the joy of superstition”, but unfortunately (?) it involves Paul the Octopus:
(ETA: note the parallel between the above and “I post these things because they are interesting, not because they’re right”. And to be lucid, my own expectations of relevance get aroused for the same reasons as most everyone else’s; I just happen to be lucky enough to know a blog where I can raise the discussion to the meta level.)