When it comes to LW rationality, it’s not easy to be clear about what it happens to be.
If you have people say “well, because X happens I updated my probability that my date is likely to show up from Y to Z” it’s easy for an outsider to get the impression that there’s overvaluing of numbers going on. Even if you then defend yourself by saying: “We have this Internal Double Crux things, that totally focuses on using intuition”, that just gets weirder for the other person.
When it comes to LW rationality, it’s not easy to be clear about what it happens to be.
If you have people say “well, because X happens I updated my probability that my date is likely to show up from Y to Z” it’s easy for an outsider to get the impression that there’s overvaluing of numbers going on. Even if you then defend yourself by saying: “We have this Internal Double Crux things, that totally focuses on using intuition”, that just gets weirder for the other person.