The point that a capabilities overhang might cause rapid progress in a short period of time has been made by a number of people without any connections to AI labs, including me, which should reduce your credence that it’s “basically, total self-serving BS”.
More to the point of Daniel Filan’s original comment, I have criticized the Responsible Scaling Policy document in the past for failing to distinguish itself clearly from AI pause proposals. My guess is that your second and third points are likely mostly correct: AI labs think of an RSP as different from AI pause because it’s lighter-touch, more narrowly targeted, and the RSP-triggered pause could be lifted more quickly, potentially minimally disrupting business operations.
I think it’s not an unreasonable point to take into account when talking price, but also a lot of the time it’s serves as a BS talking point for people who don’t really care about the subtleties.
The point that a capabilities overhang might cause rapid progress in a short period of time has been made by a number of people without any connections to AI labs, including me, which should reduce your credence that it’s “basically, total self-serving BS”.
More to the point of Daniel Filan’s original comment, I have criticized the Responsible Scaling Policy document in the past for failing to distinguish itself clearly from AI pause proposals. My guess is that your second and third points are likely mostly correct: AI labs think of an RSP as different from AI pause because it’s lighter-touch, more narrowly targeted, and the RSP-triggered pause could be lifted more quickly, potentially minimally disrupting business operations.
I think it’s not an unreasonable point to take into account when talking price, but also a lot of the time it’s serves as a BS talking point for people who don’t really care about the subtleties.