We could start a set of more fine grained prediction market questions around H5N1. For example, I proposed one on Metaculus last night asking if another mink farm will be culled in 2023 due to an H5N1 outbreak.
I work at Metaculus and would like to approve this question, but I don’t see it on our end at the moment. Could you please double-check to make sure it was submitted and isn’t still in draft form, or add me (NMorrion) as a co-author so I can get it running for you?
OK, I’m out of stamina at the moment to rewrite the question I submitted to metaculus but I’ll send questions your way if/when I get them written down,
We could start a set of more fine grained prediction market questions around H5N1. For example, I proposed one on Metaculus last night asking if another mink farm will be culled in 2023 due to an H5N1 outbreak.
I work at Metaculus and would like to approve this question, but I don’t see it on our end at the moment. Could you please double-check to make sure it was submitted and isn’t still in draft form, or add me (NMorrion) as a co-author so I can get it running for you?
Didn’t realize I’d only had it saved in drafts. I just submitted it.
Thank you. I approved the question and it will launch tomorrow.
In addition to the question linked in the original post, here’s one other related question that is live on Metaculus:
if it makes it easier, I can add the questions to manifold if you provide a list of questions and resolution criteria.
OK, I’m out of stamina at the moment to rewrite the question I submitted to metaculus but I’ll send questions your way if/when I get them written down,