That’s possible. Have you read Robin Hanson’s 2000 paper on economic growth over the past 2 million years? If not, you might find it interesting. Talks in part about how new modes of spreading knowledge and invention may explain past transitions in the economic growth rate.
It doesn’t mention AI at all (though Hanson has made the connection multiple times since), but does say that if the data series trend continues, that suggests a possible transition to a new growth mode some time in the next couple of decades with a doubling time of a few days to a few years. To me, AI in some form seems like a reasonable candidate for that, to the extent it can take human limits on adaptation speed out of the equation.
That’s possible. Have you read Robin Hanson’s 2000 paper on economic growth over the past 2 million years? If not, you might find it interesting. Talks in part about how new modes of spreading knowledge and invention may explain past transitions in the economic growth rate.
It doesn’t mention AI at all (though Hanson has made the connection multiple times since), but does say that if the data series trend continues, that suggests a possible transition to a new growth mode some time in the next couple of decades with a doubling time of a few days to a few years. To me, AI in some form seems like a reasonable candidate for that, to the extent it can take human limits on adaptation speed out of the equation.