I think that the problem is humans innately, viscerally prefer motivated cognition to bayesian-style belief updating.
Humans engaging in rationality rather than sophistry is like (to borrow a metaphor from Ciphergoth) dogs walking on their hind legs.
I mean sure, you can train an able and willing human to do it, under favorable circumstances. But don’t expect it to always work or be easy.
I think that the problem is humans innately, viscerally prefer motivated cognition to bayesian-style belief updating.
Humans engaging in rationality rather than sophistry is like (to borrow a metaphor from Ciphergoth) dogs walking on their hind legs.
I mean sure, you can train an able and willing human to do it, under favorable circumstances. But don’t expect it to always work or be easy.