(2) We can agree to always report honest beliefs even though we know it will cost us reputation.
I don’t think reputation is the only concern when it comes to revealing beliefs.
If I make an argument to convince people of A I don’t have to also say B.
Even if I don’t believe that an AGI will be discovered in the next 100 years I can still particpate in a discussion about AI safety and assume for the sake of the discussion that an AGI will be discovered in the next 100 years.
I don’t think reputation is the only concern when it comes to revealing beliefs. If I make an argument to convince people of A I don’t have to also say B.
Even if I don’t believe that an AGI will be discovered in the next 100 years I can still particpate in a discussion about AI safety and assume for the sake of the discussion that an AGI will be discovered in the next 100 years.