Thank you so much for this, I was really confused about Zelinsky’s request for a NFZ until now (since as pointed out, it’s oddly specific, wouldn’t help much, and could make things worse). If this analysis is correct, it’s a genius (if risky) political move, and one that seems to be working. I wonder if most politicians are working under the same assumptions we are…
Thank you so much for this, I was really confused about Zelinsky’s request for a NFZ until now (since as pointed out, it’s oddly specific, wouldn’t help much, and could make things worse). If this analysis is correct, it’s a genius (if risky) political move, and one that seems to be working. I wonder if most politicians are working under the same assumptions we are…
Thank you :)
See also this much more in-depth and well researched analysis of nuclear deterrence in general, and how it applies to the situation in Ukraine in particular. And this other post by the same author posted on the day of the invasion, already then presenting a picture clearer than I hold now.