I think the biggest thing that is fully missing is the obvious game-theoretic consideration. In as much as both the US and China think the world is better off if we take AI slow, then you are in a standard prisoners dilemma situation with regards to racing towards AGI.
Yep, that makes sense. When I went into this, I was actually expecting the model to say that not racing is still better, and then surprised by the outputs of the model.
I don’t know how to quantitatively model game-theoretic considerations here, so I didn’t include them, to my regret.
Yep, that makes sense. When I went into this, I was actually expecting the model to say that not racing is still better, and then surprised by the outputs of the model.
I don’t know how to quantitatively model game-theoretic considerations here, so I didn’t include them, to my regret.