Plausible. But I (at least attempted to) account for this prior to giving the number.
Like, the number I give matches my own sense, introspecting on my own beliefs, including doing sensible double-checks and cross-checks with other very different tools such as Focusing or Murphyjitsu and including e.g. later receiving the data and sometimes discovering that I was wrong and have not updated in the way I thought I would.
I think you might be thinking that the “a surprising amount of the time” claim is heavily biased toward “immediate feedback from people who just tried to learn it, in a context where they are probably prone to various motivated cognitions,” and while it’s not zero biased in that way, it’s based on lots of feedback from not-that-context.
Plausible. But I (at least attempted to) account for this prior to giving the number.
Like, the number I give matches my own sense, introspecting on my own beliefs, including doing sensible double-checks and cross-checks with other very different tools such as Focusing or Murphyjitsu and including e.g. later receiving the data and sometimes discovering that I was wrong and have not updated in the way I thought I would.
I think you might be thinking that the “a surprising amount of the time” claim is heavily biased toward “immediate feedback from people who just tried to learn it, in a context where they are probably prone to various motivated cognitions,” and while it’s not zero biased in that way, it’s based on lots of feedback from not-that-context.