Re democratic countries overtaken by dictatorial countries, I think that this will only last until AI that can automate at least all white collar labor is achieved, and maybe even most blue collar physical labor well enough that human wages for those jobs decline below what you need to subsist on a human, and by then dictatorial/plutocratic countries will unfortunately come back as a viable governing option, and maybe even overtaking democratic countries.
So to come back to the analogy, I think VNM-rationality dictatorship is unfortunately common and convergent over a long timescale, and it’s democracies/coalition politics that are fragile over the sweep of history, because they only became dominant-ish starting in the 18th century and end sometime in the 21st century.
Re democratic countries overtaken by dictatorial countries, I think that this will only last until AI that can automate at least all white collar labor is achieved, and maybe even most blue collar physical labor well enough that human wages for those jobs decline below what you need to subsist on a human, and by then dictatorial/plutocratic countries will unfortunately come back as a viable governing option, and maybe even overtaking democratic countries.
So to come back to the analogy, I think VNM-rationality dictatorship is unfortunately common and convergent over a long timescale, and it’s democracies/coalition politics that are fragile over the sweep of history, because they only became dominant-ish starting in the 18th century and end sometime in the 21st century.