I see; I was naïvely thinking in terms of “only losing by 50 points doesn’t sound so bad, right?!”, not carefully thinking about how the update rule works. Now that you point it out, I agree that (200/(200+9*250))/0.1 ≈ 0.82.
I see; I was naïvely thinking in terms of “only losing by 50 points doesn’t sound so bad, right?!”, not carefully thinking about how the update rule works. Now that you point it out, I agree that (200/(200+9*250))/0.1 ≈ 0.82.