If you were previously aware of Goertzel’s belief in AI FOOM but not his opinions on psi/paperclipping then you should lower your confidence slightly. (Exactly how much depends on what other evidence/opinions you have to hand).
If the SIAI were wheeling out Goertzel as an example of “look, here’s someone who believes in FOOM” then it should lower your confidence
If you were previously unaware of Goertzel’s belief in FOOM then it should probably increase your confidence very slightly. Reversed stupidity is not intelligence
Obviously the quanitity of “slightly” depends on what other evidence/opinions you have to hand.
This is a good analysis. I was previously weakly aware of Goertzel’s beliefs on psi/paperclipping, and didn’t know much about his opinions on AI other than that he was working on superhuman AGI but didn’t have as much concern for Friendliness as SIAI. So I suppose my confidence shouldn’t change very much either way. I’m still on the fence on several questions related to Singularitarianism, so I’m trying to get evidence wherever I can find it.
It depends.
If you were previously aware of Goertzel’s belief in AI FOOM but not his opinions on psi/paperclipping then you should lower your confidence slightly. (Exactly how much depends on what other evidence/opinions you have to hand).
If the SIAI were wheeling out Goertzel as an example of “look, here’s someone who believes in FOOM” then it should lower your confidence
If you were previously unaware of Goertzel’s belief in FOOM then it should probably increase your confidence very slightly. Reversed stupidity is not intelligence
Obviously the quanitity of “slightly” depends on what other evidence/opinions you have to hand.
This is a good analysis. I was previously weakly aware of Goertzel’s beliefs on psi/paperclipping, and didn’t know much about his opinions on AI other than that he was working on superhuman AGI but didn’t have as much concern for Friendliness as SIAI. So I suppose my confidence shouldn’t change very much either way. I’m still on the fence on several questions related to Singularitarianism, so I’m trying to get evidence wherever I can find it.