Where does he express optimism about elites’ handling of AGI? In that post, he seems to just be saying “AGI is probably many centuries away, and I don’t see much we can knowably do about it so far in advance.”
Right, and if it’s that slow, there is plenty of time for it to be noticed and mitigated, see Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters
That’s a great link! But does Aaronson express this view anywhere?
Where does he express optimism about elites’ handling of AGI? In that post, he seems to just be saying “AGI is probably many centuries away, and I don’t see much we can knowably do about it so far in advance.”
Right, and if it’s that slow, there is plenty of time for it to be noticed and mitigated, see Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters
That’s a great link! But does Aaronson express this view anywhere?