So far, of course, the sampling here is very locally biased.
Think about nuclear technology. It evolved in a time of war… The probability that nuclear technology was going to arise at a time when we use it well rather than [for] destruction was low…
So far the nuclear record has turned out reasonably well though, I’m not sure what the argument is here.
Unfortunately, Hanson does not explain his reasons for rejecting Miller’s analysis.
One reason to discount arms race worries is increasing global peace and cooperation, as covered at length by Steven Pinker.
and that the efforts of MIRI are critical to the planet’s survival.
I would certainly disclaim this as a likely possibility, speaking for myself.
So far, of course, the sampling here is very locally biased.
So far the nuclear record has turned out reasonably well though, I’m not sure what the argument is here.
One reason to discount arms race worries is increasing global peace and cooperation, as covered at length by Steven Pinker.
I would certainly disclaim this as a likely possibility, speaking for myself.
Can’t find this part in OP—has it been deleted?
See Luke’s footnote 1.