There’s currently a Foretold community attempting to answer this question here, using both general Guesstimate models and human judgement taking into account the nuances of each country. We’ve hired some superforecasters from Good Judgement who will start working on it in a few days.
There’s currently a Foretold community attempting to answer this question here, using both general Guesstimate models and human judgement taking into account the nuances of each country. We’ve hired some superforecasters from Good Judgement who will start working on it in a few days.