I think people haven’t quite updated on the news value of what Norvig said in his talk this year. In 2007, he listed the specific components that were important in order to make progress in AGI. This year, he opened his talk by saying that substantial progress has been made towards 5⁄6 of those components. http://singularitysummit.com/the-history-and-future-of-technological-change/ is the 2007 talk.
However, some of those goals are way easier than the others. Doing stuff online with lots of data is important but something that we can predictably do after investing enough resources. Probabilistic first-order logic and hierarchical representations are the parts that require lots and lots of insight, and progress on those two is far less impressive.
I think people haven’t quite updated on the news value of what Norvig said in his talk this year. In 2007, he listed the specific components that were important in order to make progress in AGI. This year, he opened his talk by saying that substantial progress has been made towards 5⁄6 of those components. http://singularitysummit.com/the-history-and-future-of-technological-change/ is the 2007 talk.
However, some of those goals are way easier than the others. Doing stuff online with lots of data is important but something that we can predictably do after investing enough resources. Probabilistic first-order logic and hierarchical representations are the parts that require lots and lots of insight, and progress on those two is far less impressive.