In that type of scenario, I think it is hard to avoid a situation where domain knowledge dominates rational handling of evidence. It might be better, I don’t know. Could you describe in more detail what kind of game you’re imagining?
I’m slightly biased against it because this seems even more like gambling. Specifically, like sports betting. And as soon as you involve prizes, it’ll be hard to avoid being subject to gambling legislation.
In that type of scenario, I think it is hard to avoid a situation where domain knowledge dominates rational handling of evidence. It might be better, I don’t know. Could you describe in more detail what kind of game you’re imagining?
I’m slightly biased against it because this seems even more like gambling. Specifically, like sports betting. And as soon as you involve prizes, it’ll be hard to avoid being subject to gambling legislation.
Before releasing the results of the LW survey, we might have a tournament about predicting the outcome of many survey questions.