You were correct. I think that now I understand expected utility; I was arrogant enough to follow my mathematical intuitions, assuming the details would fix themselves later, rather than working it all through. What I would never have done in a published paper, I did in a blog post.
Can you please write a post on what your old incorrect understanding of expected utility was, and why it was wrong (before it fades away completely)? I suspect your confusion to be a common one, and writing it down would help others. Think of it as payback for those who tried (unsuccessfully, until Eliezer’s attempt) to point out that perhaps you didn’t understand expected utility correctly.
I’ve added that to the post now—a sketch of the original, and what went wrong (simple version: I applied financial/arbitrage insights to utility, whithout realising that the mere existence of investors and arbitragers in the world would change the price you put on something).
Think of it as payback for those who tried (unsuccessfully, until Eliezer’s attempt) to point out that perhaps you didn’t understand expected utility correctly.
Oh, it wasn’t Eliezer pointing it out that made me realise it; it was me trying to prove Eliezer wrong that did the trick.
You were correct. I think that now I understand expected utility; I was arrogant enough to follow my mathematical intuitions, assuming the details would fix themselves later, rather than working it all through. What I would never have done in a published paper, I did in a blog post.
I apologise. The post has been retracted.
Can you please write a post on what your old incorrect understanding of expected utility was, and why it was wrong (before it fades away completely)? I suspect your confusion to be a common one, and writing it down would help others. Think of it as payback for those who tried (unsuccessfully, until Eliezer’s attempt) to point out that perhaps you didn’t understand expected utility correctly.
I’ve added that to the post now—a sketch of the original, and what went wrong (simple version: I applied financial/arbitrage insights to utility, whithout realising that the mere existence of investors and arbitragers in the world would change the price you put on something).
Oh, it wasn’t Eliezer pointing it out that made me realise it; it was me trying to prove Eliezer wrong that did the trick.