My worst case of the planning fallacy is a very general one—any assignment with a deadline. I consistently think “this problem set isn’t so hard, I’ll be able to get it done on Tuesday even though it’s due Friday.” In reality, I’m always working right up until the deadline, pretty much regardless of how hard the assignment is. It’s even worse at work, where a large fraction of the deadlines are made up and easy to slip past without anyone getting mad. I think the underlying dynamics here aren’t just about the planning fallacy, it’s also a matter of how my personal control systems operate, and I’m trying to address both pieces as part of hammertime.
My worst case of the planning fallacy is a very general one—any assignment with a deadline. I consistently think “this problem set isn’t so hard, I’ll be able to get it done on Tuesday even though it’s due Friday.” In reality, I’m always working right up until the deadline, pretty much regardless of how hard the assignment is. It’s even worse at work, where a large fraction of the deadlines are made up and easy to slip past without anyone getting mad. I think the underlying dynamics here aren’t just about the planning fallacy, it’s also a matter of how my personal control systems operate, and I’m trying to address both pieces as part of hammertime.