Guessing that everyone is T- results in a 100% false negative rate, which although not much better than a 99% false negative rate, might more than make up for a 1% decrease in the false positive rate.
If this is a real cancer test, and the researcher is optimizing a balance between false positives and false negatives, where would you prefer that he or she place that balance? A lot of medical tests have intentionally very low false negative rates even if that means they have proportionally much higher false positive rates (than they would if they were optimizing for a different balance).
Guessing that everyone is T- results in a 100% false negative rate, which although not much better than a 99% false negative rate, might more than make up for a 1% decrease in the false positive rate.
If this is a real cancer test, and the researcher is optimizing a balance between false positives and false negatives, where would you prefer that he or she place that balance? A lot of medical tests have intentionally very low false negative rates even if that means they have proportionally much higher false positive rates (than they would if they were optimizing for a different balance).