What is the probability that OpenAI will release GPT-5 before the end of 2025? “Release” means that a random member of the public can use it, possibly paid.
Does this require a product called specifically “GPT-5”? What if they release e.g “OpenAI o2″ instead, and there will never be something called GPT-5?
Does this require a product called specifically “GPT-5”? What if they release e.g “OpenAI o2″ instead, and there will never be something called GPT-5?
I’m being a little bit sneaky here, and trying to compare the LessWrong community to Manifold. Here’s the Manifold Market I’m trying to track.
I don’t want to add multiple paragraphs to the question text, but there’s probably a way to make this a little clearer.
Wait. No. That market is for a release before 2025, not by the end of 2025.
. . . I was pretty sure there was a market for end of 2025 and now I can’t find it. Hrm.