In some house internal estimates, I have been treating “recovered from untested COVID” as something like a 80% risk reduction (because I don’t trust people that much to self-diagnose with COVID, though the evidence in that case was quite substantial that it was actually COVID). I would treat “recovered from COVID with confirmed positive and negative test” as something like a 95% risk reduction. I don’t currently believe there is much of a risk of being an asymptomatic carrier after more than two weeks having passed of you being tested as recovered.
In some house internal estimates, I have been treating “recovered from untested COVID” as something like a 80% risk reduction (because I don’t trust people that much to self-diagnose with COVID, though the evidence in that case was quite substantial that it was actually COVID). I would treat “recovered from COVID with confirmed positive and negative test” as something like a 95% risk reduction. I don’t currently believe there is much of a risk of being an asymptomatic carrier after more than two weeks having passed of you being tested as recovered.