Anthropic reasoning can’t give you the right probability estimate which depends on the distrubution of islands. In a world where all islands are of type 1, the native may anticipate all the dreadful disasters he wants and he will still be wrong.
If such things worked, you’d be able to settle anthropic puzzles with a game of Civilization or something.
Anthropic reasoning can’t give you the right probability estimate which depends on the distrubution of islands. In a world where all islands are of type 1, the native may anticipate all the dreadful disasters he wants and he will still be wrong.
If such things worked, you’d be able to settle anthropic puzzles with a game of Civilization or something.