The good news is that I expect AI development to be de facto open if not de jure openfor the following reason:
AI labs still need to publish enough at at least a high-level summary or abstraction level to succeed in the marketplace and politically.
OpenAI (et al.) could try and force as much about the actual functioning, work-performing details of the engineering design of their models into low-level implementation details that remain closed-source, with the intent to base their design on principles that make such a strategy more feasible. But I believe that this will not work.
This has to do with more fundamental reasons on how successful AI models have to actually be structured, such that even their high-level, abstract summaries of how they work must reliably map to the reasons that the model performs well (this is akin to the Natural Abstraction hypothesis).
Therefore, advanced AI models could in principle be feasibly reverse-engineered or re-developed simply from the implementation details that are published.
The good news is that I expect AI development to be de facto open if not de jure open for the following reason:
AI labs still need to publish enough at at least a high-level summary or abstraction level to succeed in the marketplace and politically.
OpenAI (et al.) could try and force as much about the actual functioning, work-performing details of the engineering design of their models into low-level implementation details that remain closed-source, with the intent to base their design on principles that make such a strategy more feasible. But I believe that this will not work.
This has to do with more fundamental reasons on how successful AI models have to actually be structured, such that even their high-level, abstract summaries of how they work must reliably map to the reasons that the model performs well (this is akin to the Natural Abstraction hypothesis).
Therefore, advanced AI models could in principle be feasibly reverse-engineered or re-developed simply from the implementation details that are published.