You poster talks about “catastrophic outcomes” from “more-powerful-than-human” AI. Does that not count as alarmism and x-risk? This isn’t meant to be a gotcha, I just want to know what counts as too alarmist for you.
Maybe I should have stated this differently in the post. Many conversations end up talking about X-risks at some point but usually only after it went through the other stuff. I think my main learning was just that starting with X-risk as the motivation did not seem very convincing.
Also, there is a big difference in how you talk about X-risk. You could say stuff like “there are plausible arguments why X-risk could lead to extinction but even experts are highly uncertain about this” or “We’re all gonna die” and the more moderate version seems clearly more persuasive.
You poster talks about “catastrophic outcomes” from “more-powerful-than-human” AI. Does that not count as alarmism and x-risk? This isn’t meant to be a gotcha, I just want to know what counts as too alarmist for you.
Maybe I should have stated this differently in the post. Many conversations end up talking about X-risks at some point but usually only after it went through the other stuff. I think my main learning was just that starting with X-risk as the motivation did not seem very convincing.
Also, there is a big difference in how you talk about X-risk. You could say stuff like “there are plausible arguments why X-risk could lead to extinction but even experts are highly uncertain about this” or “We’re all gonna die” and the more moderate version seems clearly more persuasive.