I’m wondering if the comparison with a dogfight is fair, though. With only the conservative treatment Steve has months or years to live, while a single wrong move kills him quickly. Dogfights are the opposite: the conservative approach (absence of a single right move) has a significant chance of doing you in.
In other words, the expected lifetime is reversed in a fight vs treatment between doing something and doing nothing.
I’m wondering if the comparison with a dogfight is fair, though. With only the conservative treatment Steve has months or years to live, while a single wrong move kills him quickly. Dogfights are the opposite: the conservative approach (absence of a single right move) has a significant chance of doing you in.
In other words, the expected lifetime is reversed in a fight vs treatment between doing something and doing nothing.