3) I allot a reasonable-seeming amount of time to think before deciding to drastically change something important. The logic is that the argument isn’t evidence in itself—the evidence is the fact that the argument exists, and that you’re not aware of any flaws in it. If you haven’t thought about it for a while, the probability of having found flaws is low whether or not those flaws exist—so not having found them yet is only weak evidence against your current position.
So basically, “Before you’ve had time to consider them”.
3) I allot a reasonable-seeming amount of time to think before deciding to drastically change something important. The logic is that the argument isn’t evidence in itself—the evidence is the fact that the argument exists, and that you’re not aware of any flaws in it. If you haven’t thought about it for a while, the probability of having found flaws is low whether or not those flaws exist—so not having found them yet is only weak evidence against your current position.
So basically, “Before you’ve had time to consider them”.